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in 2004 george w. bush went up against al gore. in gore's case, a strategist thought he lost that debate in the spin room. so i wonder, matt, how much of this is decided by what the candidates actually say? and how much by the pundits the day after? >> i give the american people some credit. i think they can listen and watch. and most evidence has shown that people start paying attention maybe around the conventions. they pay a lot of attention in the debates as well. what romney has to do is to get people who don't think obama has earned a second mandate, he's got to get them to think he deserved to replace him. there is room to make that case. i don't think he's made that case so far, but we're talking about tinkering around the margins. i think both sides are going to -- democrats are going to vote democrat, republicans will vote republican. >> and john mccain who knows more than a little bit about what it's like to be in a presidential debate had this take on "morning joe" today. >> i think for us to raise the expectation, he's
in 2004 george w. bush went up against al gore. in gore's case, a strategist thought he lost that debate in the spin room. so i wonder, matt, how much of this is decided by what the candidates actually say? and how much by the pundits the day after? >> i give the american people some credit. i think they can listen and watch. and most evidence has shown that people start paying attention maybe around the conventions. they pay a lot of attention in the debates as well. what romney has to...
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Oct 1, 2012
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he's a former top official in the george w. bush administration. sitting on the federal appeals court in d.c. right now, he actually clerked for justice anthony kennedy back in the day. so perhaps that's a leg up. judge diane sykes is a popular conservative on the federal appeals court in milwaukee. so she is a choice too, especially, say, if justice ruth bader ginsburg, one of the liberals were to retire. sykes would probably be a leading candidate. and also have to mention paul clement. this is a really well known lawyer who actually served as the united states solicitor general. and argues a lot of big cases before the court including the health care case. i heard him speak here in washington, d.c. not too long ago. he's a very sharp guy. so a lot of choices there for mitt romney if he gets the job. and assuming somebody steps down, you know, they don't have to step down. >> i know. if you have three potential octogenarians, you have to think who might fit the bill. >>> the surviving d.c. sniper is speaking out in this rare interview from behind
he's a former top official in the george w. bush administration. sitting on the federal appeals court in d.c. right now, he actually clerked for justice anthony kennedy back in the day. so perhaps that's a leg up. judge diane sykes is a popular conservative on the federal appeals court in milwaukee. so she is a choice too, especially, say, if justice ruth bader ginsburg, one of the liberals were to retire. sykes would probably be a leading candidate. and also have to mention paul clement. this...
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Oct 1, 2012
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kennedy, and in 2000 when gore was condescending toward george w. bush. the point is, more than zingers, what seems to affect the outcome is your general likability. how you come across. last point, carol, i saw newt gingrich give advice to mitt romney. he said that these debates. his expert told him it's 85% visual, how you look, 10% how you say something, your tone, and 5%, only 5% what you actually say. that would certainly reinforce this likability prism. >> well, that 5%'s kind of depressing. >> it is. >> well, let me ask you this about likability. remember in 2008, obama had a problem with likability and he's turned that around. he's now the more likable candidate. there is a danger to him to appear unlikable in this debate if he gets too snippy or too condescending or too professorial. >> absolutely because he's coming from a position of authority or power. everyone expects him to win this debate, everyone, apparently except for governor chris christie. so he will have -- there is a danger of him coming in to this thing perhaps sounding overconfide
kennedy, and in 2000 when gore was condescending toward george w. bush. the point is, more than zingers, what seems to affect the outcome is your general likability. how you come across. last point, carol, i saw newt gingrich give advice to mitt romney. he said that these debates. his expert told him it's 85% visual, how you look, 10% how you say something, your tone, and 5%, only 5% what you actually say. that would certainly reinforce this likability prism. >> well, that 5%'s kind of...
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Oct 1, 2012
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like president bush checking his watch. and then taking that awkward step towards george w. bush. >> so many believe that al gore had invaded george bush's personal space there. we had a poll asking who would you like to see on "dancing with the stars," 51% said the president. 26% said romney. but also this, who would you trust to babysit your children? 41%. >> i can expect that. one a father, one a grandfather. george? >>> thank you very much. arnold schwarzenegger here for his first live interview about his autobiography "total recall: my unbelievably true life story." it's on sale now. on body building and business and the movies and politics and the affair with the housekeeper. and the moment he finally confessed to his wife maria shriver. let's start out with politics now. you're still a republican, right? >> yes. >> but you haven't yet committed to mitt romney. why? >> well, i always wait until the last minute. and there's some very interesting debates coming up. and i think it's always nice when you see both of the candidates next to each other and debate the issues.
like president bush checking his watch. and then taking that awkward step towards george w. bush. >> so many believe that al gore had invaded george bush's personal space there. we had a poll asking who would you like to see on "dancing with the stars," 51% said the president. 26% said romney. but also this, who would you trust to babysit your children? 41%. >> i can expect that. one a father, one a grandfather. george? >>> thank you very much. arnold...
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or vice president al gore taking that awkward step towards george w. bush. >> and i believe i can. >> so many believe that al gore had invaded george bush's personal space there. we had a poll asking who would you like to see on "dancing with the stars," 51% said the president. 26% said romney. but also this, who would you trust to babysit your children? listen to this. dead even. both at 41%. >> i'm not surprised by that. one is a good father. the other, a good grandfather and father. the likability so important. thanks, david. george? >>> thank you very much. arnold schwarzenegger here for his first live interview about his autobiography "total recall: my unbelievably true life story." it's on sale now. it covers arnold's whole life, from a rough childhood in austria to body building and business. and the movies and politics and the affair with the housekeeper. and the moment he finally confessed to his wife maria shriver. there's a whole lot to talk about. arnold, thank you for coming in. >> you're welcome. >> let's start out with politics now. you'
or vice president al gore taking that awkward step towards george w. bush. >> and i believe i can. >> so many believe that al gore had invaded george bush's personal space there. we had a poll asking who would you like to see on "dancing with the stars," 51% said the president. 26% said romney. but also this, who would you trust to babysit your children? listen to this. dead even. both at 41%. >> i'm not surprised by that. one is a good father. the other, a good...
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Oct 1, 2012
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george w. bush's debate was a disaster. i don't think it will be a disaster. but you saw on the univision interview. when you are abe incumbent president you are not used to being challenged. bill: what do you think the impact of a potential exchange like we just watched will have on this 15% rasmussen is talking about? >> rich is right. it depends on what it is. there was another debate moment in 2008 that seemed to change the trajectory a little bit. remember when hillary was told people don't like her and she said that hurts my feelings and it was kind of like funny, self-deprecating moment, and it seemed to move women voters in a way. you can't ever really know. there could just be some sort of moment that moves people in a certain direction, though. i think the bigger issue is mitt romney making people feel like i'm a goodall tern tough to obama. you are not that happy with him or you wouldn't be undecide or persuadable. but i'm safe. i'm somebody you can trust with the future. bill: the audience is enormous. 50 million americans will watch this. this is
george w. bush's debate was a disaster. i don't think it will be a disaster. but you saw on the univision interview. when you are abe incumbent president you are not used to being challenged. bill: what do you think the impact of a potential exchange like we just watched will have on this 15% rasmussen is talking about? >> rich is right. it depends on what it is. there was another debate moment in 2008 that seemed to change the trajectory a little bit. remember when hillary was told...
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i remember when george w. bush was elected elected by the supreme court to be president. when he was reelected four years later. >> i would say he was elected for the first time. >> that a joke can't win is ridiculous. i think obama was probably going to win regardless of how bad the economic condition got. >> yes. >> but he won by a larger margin as a result. anything can happen. >> i completely agree. we've had jokes hit the white house before. warren harding might not be able to get the white house with 24 hour news cycles, the more cameras on the candidates, the harder for i imbecile's to get there. >> anything can happen that isn't handled perfectly. as we saw in 2007 or 2008, that can be a game-changer. in a race this close even on the national level i think we need to be mindful of that. if anything, it should be getting us up earlier us getting more coffee to walk those precincts and explain how important it is to vote and make sure everybody has the proper identification to get in there and cast their ballots. if you were worried about mitt romney and now taking
i remember when george w. bush was elected elected by the supreme court to be president. when he was reelected four years later. >> i would say he was elected for the first time. >> that a joke can't win is ridiculous. i think obama was probably going to win regardless of how bad the economic condition got. >> yes. >> but he won by a larger margin as a result. anything can happen. >> i completely agree. we've had jokes hit the white house before. warren harding...
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and when all that comes together and it did in 2000 for george w. bush against al gore, then you can take a race with a republican who is trailing about the same amount that romney's trailing now and they reverse that and bush left the debates with a lead. that's the model. >> foreign policy still a wild card, too. and even some polls on the economy, romney seems for be doing better on those. two points on the gwu poll today, right? and we'll get rasmussen -- >> i didn't see gw. i saw a "washington post" abc poll showed two points among likely voters nationally. >> in was two on gwu, too. politico was two points. rasmussen and gallup at 5 and rasmussen at 2. >> polls it show obama up 11 in swing states. that sounds high to me. but in any case, obama's ahead, romney has to change something. he has a chance to do it. >> all right, john harwood, thank you. >> today is the start of the fourth quarter. and joining us is teach stanley, chief economist for peerpont securities. the lead story is how trade is slowing around the world. all of europe's problem
and when all that comes together and it did in 2000 for george w. bush against al gore, then you can take a race with a republican who is trailing about the same amount that romney's trailing now and they reverse that and bush left the debates with a lead. that's the model. >> foreign policy still a wild card, too. and even some polls on the economy, romney seems for be doing better on those. two points on the gwu poll today, right? and we'll get rasmussen -- >> i didn't see gw. i...